In a recent article posted by Maya Fisher-French, she writes and includes a wide variety of sources on the topic of retirement reform and some of the negative news that is circulating.
At Resolute Wealth, we do believe in cutting through the noise and sticking to credible sources of information so that our investment ability remains focused on the correct aspects of data and news.
Below are some of the ideas shared which we think are important for investors to understand and also to reduce stress around the issue.
The belief that retirement funds are going to be plundered:
The media is not helping in terms of keeping a balanced view. In Fisher-Frenche’s article she notes that advisory firms have had queries from concerned clients, “generally after they have read a sensational article by someone who is scaremongering.”
Janina Slawski, head of investment consulting at Alexander Forbes, says they are spending a lot of time sending out communication to try and calm down members.
“It is depressing: an article comes out in the newspaper and now people think prescribed assets is a policy. People are already worried about their jobs and now they think government is trying to steal their money. This is not the environment anyone needs right now.”
Over the last few years, government and National Treasury have been introducing various reforms that affect retirement funds. The aim is to improve retirement outcomes and preservation, but against the backdrop of corruption, a failing economy, and concerning comments from politicians, many people have seen this as an attempt to grab pension assets.
Retirement reforms causing a stir:
- Last year the ANC election manifesto stated an intent to “investigate the introduction of prescribed assets on financial institutions’ funds to unlock resources for investments in social and economic development.” This, coupled with discussions to amend Regulation 28 of the Pensions Fund Act, has created a fear that government will use pension funds to bail out corrupt and underperforming state-owned assets. This is undoubtedly the biggest fear people have currently.
- The final straw appears to be the draft legislation issued by National Treasury at the end of July proposing that South Africans emigrating would not be able to access their South African retirement funds for up to three years after emigration. This would affect retirement annuities as well as preservation funds. For many this is a further signal that government is trying to lock up retirement assets. As Jean Du Toit, head of tax technical at Tax Consulting wrote, “the amendment may be argued as only a draft proposal written into law or a simple by-product of a shift in exchange control policy; but do you risk your retirement life savings on assumptions of government’s good intentions?”
Critical context is required here and is provided by Chris Axelson, chief director: economic tax analysis at National Treasury.
He states, the emigration draft proposal is simply part of a process to remove exchange control for individuals as announced in the Budget in February 2020.
“We are removing exchange controls in order to make it easier for South Africans to leave and return without severing their ties with the country,” says Axelson.
The announcement in February cleared the way for the removal of exchange control for individuals towards a policy of capital control. This means you could leave South Africa and keep your ties with the country, continue to have bank accounts, credit cards and if you return, you are not required to repatriate your offshore funds.
However, formal emigration was a trigger allowing individuals to cash in their retirement annuities or preservation funds. With the removal of formal financial emigration, Axelson says they require a new trigger to allow access to retirement capital. They do not want the situation where someone works abroad for a year with the intention of returning and cashes in their retirement benefits.
“It is not our intention to prevent access to retirement funds,” says Axelson who adds that they are engaging in public comment. “The figure may not be three years by the end of the consultation process, but we need to have a trigger.”
Axelson adds that it is unfortunate that this draft legislation is being viewed in light of the debate on prescribed assets.
Reckless statements around prescribed assets are not helping
In terms of prescribed assets and discussions around changes to Regulation 28, there is clear frustration at National Treasury around reckless statements by both politicians and some in the investment industry.
Deputy Director General at National Treasury, Ismail Momoniat, says that any changes to Regulation 28 of the Pensions Fund Act would have to follow a process set out by law. That involves public comments and would need to be gazetted. This is not something government could unilaterally or instantaneously implement.
Momoniat re-iterated that National Treasury’s position is that prescribed assets and lower returns cannot be imposed on members and that trustees or mandated asset managers must be allowed to decide how best to invest members’ funds.
He also commented that no-one in government outside of National Treasury has requested any information on the impact of changing Regulation 28. “There is a lot of loose talk. This is creating fear and negatively affecting savings rates,” says Momoniat who adds that the retirement reforms that have been implemented since 2011 have been aimed at improving retirement outcomes.
Currently, any discussions around amending Regulation 28, which stipulates what asset classes retirement funds may invest in, have been focused around increasing the percentage allowed for unlisted assets such as infrastructure. This is not the same as forcing retirement funds to invest in specific assets.
It’s not all bad: there are some compelling ideas
Slawski says she is more positive now than she has been in a long time about a way forward.
“It is exciting to read all the papers and discussion documents from labour, business and government. They are all so aligned on the issues – the need for infrastructure investment, dealing with corruption and the need for execution of these plans. There is an awareness that we need to get it right – there is so much riding on it.”
Last week Alexander Forbes hosted Enoch Godongwana, head of the ANC’s economic transformation committee, to speak at a client seminar and he reiterated that using pension funds to bail out failing state-owned enterprises is not a consideration.
Stanlib economist Kevin Lings wrote this week that the SA infrastructure plans make a compelling case. “The logic of what government is proposing regarding the development of SA’s infrastructure is compelling. Not only does SA desperately need to renew and expand its infrastructure, but infrastructure offers significant multiplier benefits within the domestic economy.”
However, Lings sums up with the critical point that there is still detail lacking around changes to Regulation 28 and that “the political authorities, in general, appear reluctant to fully discuss this proposal.”
Slawski believes that much of the fear and reaction by investors is a lack of trust due to corruption and lack of delivery.
While the plans and ideas are well supported, the trust levels are non-existent. Without strong leadership and clear, non-conflicting policy statements, it is unlikely South African investors will be convinced that their money is safe.
If South Africans don’t believe in our investment potential, then nor will the foreign investment community, whose buy-in is desperately needed to boost our infrastructure plans and grow the economy.